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The end is just the beginning zeihan
The end is just the beginning zeihan











the end is just the beginning zeihan

pretty much everything, with Europe near the top of his list.

the end is just the beginning zeihan

The problem is that young Brits tend to be exceedingly pro-Europe while Corbyn is anti-…. Between 20 the Labor Party came back from the bleeding edge of dissolution under the leadership of Jeremy Corbyn by tacking to the hard left and bringing in a lot of youthful energy.

the end is just the beginning zeihan

British Labor’s mess is just as bad with the added problem of not being in power. Those of you on the political left, don’t get cocky. I’ve held this position from the beginning, but now the United Kingdom cannot get anything done that requires a parliamentary majority. No, there is zero way forward here that is anything other than a hard crash out. In losing those three MPs, May has lost her majority – which was already razor thin and only in existence at all with the help of a minor Northern Irish party which has some pretty uncompromising views on issues Irish. Even if there were a path forward that would please all of Europe, any such deal couldn’t get through the British Parliament. Getting a comprehensive trade deal with Canada took the EU a decade. There simply is no iteration of any deal that can satisfy all these divergent interests, much less in the short two-year timeframe the Brexit negotiations allowed. The Germans seek to maintain market access but deny London any rule-making influence. The French want to gut the British geopolitically. The Dutch want the British as close to the common market as possible, but not if it means they have to follow rules the British do not.

the end is just the beginning zeihan

The Spanish want a path to recovering Gibraltar. The Irish want to maintain restriction-free access to Northern Ireland. EU policy dictates that in any big issue each individual EU member must approve of the final text. There was never going to be a divorce deal with the European Union. We can debate whether referendums truly are the will of the people (I’d argue that since referendums ask explicit questions they are purer gauges of the popular will than elections), but the point is that May’s interpretation of the results are that hell-or-high-water the UK will leave. May believes the 2016 referendum in favor of the United Kingdom leaving the European Union obliges her to lead the United Kingdom to leave the European Union. Prime Minister Theresa May arguably has the worst job on the planet right now. The environment shaping the splintering, unsurprisingly, is Brexit. It started with a breakaway of seven opposition Labor MPs, and on Feb 20 picked up an eighth defector as well as three MPs who ditched the ruling Conservatives. This week Britain got a new parliamentary grouping – the Independent Group – that might in time form the kernel of a new political party. The United Kingdom stands at the precipice of its greatest change since the collapse of empire.













The end is just the beginning zeihan